N E W S

Numerical simulation of Hurricane Florence

12.09.2018

An impressive simulation has been prepared by IMGW, which refers to very dangerous Hurricane Florence, which is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and heavy rainfall to parts of Carolina and Mid-Atlantic States.

According to the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale at 0200 a.m. AST Wed Sep 12 Hurricane Florence belongs to Category 4.

Maximum sustained winds: 60 m/s
Minimum central pressure of 949 mb, located at 28.5N and 69.5W with a west-northwest movement at about 8 m/s.

The numerical simulation is prepared by real initial GFS fields with 0.25 degree resolution and the lateral boundary conditions taken at each 3 hours. The forecast length is 3 days ahead.

Animated files with hourly loops show:

Model: Weather Research Forecast Non-Hydrostatic Model (WRF-NMM) v3.6

Developer: Univ. Prof. Dr Zavisa Janjic, NCEP, USA

Initial fields from GFS NCEP global model with hor. res. 0.25 degree.
Lateral boundary conditions: GFS NCEP at each 3 hours 
GEOG data: 30' resolution Domain covers: 200x150 gris points and the central position ref_lat=32.5N and ref_lon -75.0W 
Horizontal grid length: 10km,  time step: 10s, eta vertical layers: 38, numerical metgrid levels: 32, model microphysics: WSM6 single moment scheme, forecast duration: 72 hours, map projection: Rotated lat/long

Absolute Vorticity © IMGW, V. Spiridonov